The year of commodities?

Here it is, my first post in 2018. I won’t give you NY resolutions or something. Let me first give you a quick overview of my past posts to gain a perspective before we dive into today’s topic. I think this is relevant because some of these trends started in 2017 and they could pick up steam in 2018.

The theme that could be very big this year is a big rally in commodities in my opinion. I’ve been writing a lot about commodities and commodity related products/assets in the past. When oil was at $45 and everyone was screaming it’s going lower I was taking the other side. It’s above $60 now. When gold was at $1300 I was suggesting it could drop by $60-80 at which point it could be a great level to pick it up as a long-term hold. It did precisely that and is sitting at $1320 now. Not to mention bullish copper and some other ones. Even though the above calls went great not everything did. Cocoa (and other softs) showed some signs of life during the second half of ’17, but were very quickly brought back to reality; I wouldn’t call it a day just yet.

US dollar is very important to the whole commodities story. While I had second thoughts about my bearish thesis as I see some head winds at the moment the dollar continued its slide lower. If my assumption is correct and the dollar continues what is doing, this would be a great tell and an even bigger tail wind for commodities. Nadaljuj z branjem “The year of commodities?”

Gold, can you use this opportunity?

More than two and a half months ago I published a post about gold where I discussed that it is not time for gold to shine yet. I was right, gold sold off pretty aggressively but couldn’t continue even though it had every chance to do so. This kind of fake breakouts can usually lead to even stronger breakouts but usually in the other direction. So, can gold use this opportunity to break out of this 5-6 long bear market and start an epic rally?

In this post let me present what would have to happen in order for gold to become one of the most wanted assets in the world again. Nadaljuj z branjem “Gold, can you use this opportunity?”

Ameriške volitve so mimo, kako naprej?

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Pretekli teden je ponudil veliko volatilnosti in posledično priložnosti za trgovanje, baker je imel zelo velik skok, dolar se je okrepil, cena obveznic in zlata je padla, delniški indeksi pa so doživeli pravi odboj po ponovnem odprtju borz v sredo zjutraj, katerih zaprtje se je zgodilo zaradi padca v ceni, ki je bil večji od 5%.

V prihajajočem tednu bo zelo pomembno, kako se bo trgoval dolar oziroma valutni par EURUSD. Tako dolar indeks kot EURUSD sta pred pomembno prelomnico. V kolikor EURUSD prebije pomembno podporo, pri kateri se ravno nahaja, bi lahko do začetka prihodnjega leta videli pariteto tega valutnega para. O tem sem že večkrat pisal, npr. tukaj. Poglejmo si trenutno sliko valutnega para.  Nadaljuj z branjem “Ameriške volitve so mimo, kako naprej?”

Ali je baker formiral dno?

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Pred tedni sem pisal, da je baker pred prelomnico in obstaja tveganje za padec v ceni bakra proti 1.80. Izkazalo se je, da je takrat bil na zelo močni cenovni podpori, zato se je cena od tistega nivoja odbila in trenutno znaša 2.306, kjer zaključuje dnevno trgovanje.

S tem manevrom je baker formiral dobro definirano tehnično dno, ki namiguje na spremembo trenda iz padajočega v naraščajočega. Nadaljuj z branjem “Ali je baker formiral dno?”

Dr. Baker / Dr. Copper pred prelomnico

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Dr. Baker se je zgodovinsko že velikokrat izkazal, da ima moč napovedovanja trendov. Da je temu tako, je v ozadju veliko razlogov, ampak se v njih danes ne bom spuščal, sam bi vam želel predstaviti naslednjo cenovno dinamiko. Nadaljuj z branjem “Dr. Baker / Dr. Copper pred prelomnico”

Priložnost za nakup zlata pri 1250 USD/oz?

Podpri Trgovanje.eu in odpri račun pri IG.com s klikom na bannerje na spletni strani. Več o IG.com. Cena zlata se v tem trenutku giblje med 1305 in 1310 USD/oz. Ta cenovni nivo predstavlja tudi večtedenski nivo podpore. V tem obdobju se je cena zlata konsolidirala v razponu med podporo in letošnjim cenovnim vrhom, ki se je ustvaril pri 1375 USD/oz. Načeloma bi v takšnih primerih … Nadaljuj z branjem Priložnost za nakup zlata pri 1250 USD/oz?